Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 1.782834e-03 0.001973 0.002164 0.002371 0.002587 0.002806 0.003044
2024-12-22 1.476418e-03 0.001750 0.002033 0.002348 0.002686 0.003037 0.003425
2024-12-29 1.272385e-03 0.001610 0.001972 0.002384 0.002835 0.003310 0.003847
2025-01-05 1.108700e-03 0.001498 0.001928 0.002427 0.002985 0.003583 0.004267
2025-01-12 9.801009e-04 0.001413 0.001904 0.002487 0.003148 0.003867 0.004696
2025-01-19 8.058114e-04 0.001259 0.001789 0.002433 0.003178 0.003999 0.004957
2025-01-26 6.805321e-04 0.001151 0.001719 0.002425 0.003254 0.004177 0.005265
2025-02-02 5.715248e-04 0.001052 0.001652 0.002413 0.003321 0.004342 0.005557
2025-02-09 5.276042e-04 0.001034 0.001681 0.002514 0.003516 0.004653 0.006013
2025-02-16 4.507864e-04 0.000963 0.001638 0.002523 0.003601 0.004835 0.006319
2025-02-23 3.504916e-04 0.000847 0.001529 0.002444 0.003577 0.004886 0.006474
2025-03-02 2.816163e-04 0.000768 0.001462 0.002414 0.003608 0.004999 0.006698
2025-03-09 2.183119e-04 0.000702 0.001428 0.002447 0.003746 0.005275 0.007153
2025-03-16 1.506158e-04 0.000613 0.001356 0.002431 0.003824 0.005482 0.007537
2025-03-23 1.076442e-04 0.000558 0.001328 0.002471 0.003973 0.005778 0.008027
2025-03-30 7.418975e-05 0.000511 0.001307 0.002519 0.004132 0.006086 0.008534
2025-04-06 4.987713e-05 0.000474 0.001298 0.002582 0.004310 0.006417 0.009070
2025-04-13 2.012013e-05 0.000395 0.001211 0.002528 0.004335 0.006561 0.009383
2025-04-20 5.905766e-06 0.000340 0.001158 0.002521 0.004417 0.006773 0.009776
2025-04-27 1.950011e-07 0.000291 0.001107 0.002510 0.004492 0.006974 0.010156
2025-05-04 NaN 0.000282 0.001131 0.002613 0.004719 0.007365 0.010765
2025-05-11 NaN 0.000246 0.001096 0.002623 0.004818 0.007596 0.011179
2025-05-18 NaN 0.000189 0.001006 0.002542 0.004792 0.007667 0.011398